VietNamNet Bridge – With the currently offered deposit interest rates and the CPI (consumer price index) growth rate of 5.2% by the end of June 2007, depositors are currently struggling to make a profit.
Mrs Van, a staff of a financial company, said that she made a deposit at a bank in January 2007 with the interest rate of 0.75% per month. She estimated that she could get the profit of 4.75% of the deposit sum. However, as the CPI grew by 5.2% in the first six months, Mrs Van, in fact, could not make any profit.
In this case, the interest rate offered by the bank is called ‘the minus (-) interest rate’.
Commenting about the minus interest rate, an economist said that in principle banks must ensure real profit for depositors with the ‘plus (+) interest rate’ policy in order to attract more capital to the banking system (the offered interest rate should take the CPI growth rate into consideration).
The economist said that banks were now paying special attention to mobilising more capital in foreign currencies in order to meet the increased demand from enterprises. Banks have to raise the offered interest rates for foreign currencies deposits by 0.08% per annum (short-term deposits), and 0.1% per annum (long-term deposits) on average, compared to those in March 2007.
In June alone, at least four banks announced interest rate increases. Vietcombank (HCM City branch) led the movement, announcing a new interest rate commencing on June 8 (5% for 12-month term and 4.75% for 9-month term deposits). On June 20, EAB also raised the interest rates on deposits of all terms (5.25% for 12-month, 5.1% for 9-month term deposits). Just five days later, Sacombank announced it would raise offered interest rates by 0.05-0.2% per annum. Eximbank also jumped onto the bandwagon by announcing on June 29 that it would raise interest rates on US$ deposits by 0.05-0.2%.
Though the interest rates for US$ deposits are increasing, experts don’t think that people will begin making deposits in US$ instead of VND.
“One should not think that he can avoid exchange rate risks by selling VND and depositing in US$. Once he needs to spend money, he will still have to sell US$ to get VND, which means he will still be subject to the exchange rate fluctuation,” an analyst said.
In fact, the members of the Vietnam Banking Association in April reached an agreement on lowering deposit interest rates. However, many banks have ignored the agreement, saying that they still needed to consider the issue thoroughly, especially as the inflation rate remained high, and that banks should ensure real profit for depositors.
Sacombank has just announced it will lower interest rates on all terms of deposits, commencing from June 26 (0.76% per month for 12-month term, and 0.745% for 9-month term deposits). However, in a different move, Eximbank on June 29 announced it would raise deposit interest rates with the sharpest increases for 18-month term deposits and longer.
The director of a bank reiterated that the central bank had initiated the double compulsory reserve rate in an effort to reduce bank’s usable capital and control credit growth.
The move by the central bank will put a lot of pressure on banks, forcing them to reduce deposit interest rates and raise lending interest rates, he said.
(Source: Viet Nam Net) | 
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